Monday, July 18, 2016

History Repeats Itself?

In a move that quite possibly could make or break General Manager Pierre Dorion's time with the Ottawa Senators, the Senators have traded Mika Zibanejad and a second round pick in 2018 to the New York Rangers in exchange for Derick Brassard and a seventh round pick in 2018.

On the surface, this may look like a good hockey trade, but history reveals that it is a major gamble for the Ottawa Senators, as they've yet to truly reap the rewards from the Bobby Ryan trade of June 2013. In case you're wondering what the package that they sent Anaheim to get him is doing, here it is: while Stefan Noesen hasn't been able to stay healthy, the first round pick of 2014 that they gave up became Nick Ritchie, and he is likely to compete for regular NHL duty next season. The other player in the deal was Jakob Silfverberg, and while his career high in points isn't impressive, he did set a career high in goals scored with 20, just three less than what Ryan's high with Ottawa has been, set in the 2013-14 season. Clearly, Ottawa was expecting something in the 30-goal range for the season, and that is where Ottawa has failed on many levels.

As for the Brassard-Zibanejad trade, the Senators are getting a player whose career high in points is just nine points higher than the player they traded away, plus six years older and carrying a higher cap hit, though they do get two extra years. While Brassard has been more consistent than Zibanejad, the same could have been said for Ryan at the time of the trade, and that's not surfaced since then. While Brassard could still produce numbers consistent with his usual production, if Zibanejad becomes the superstar that the Sens thought they were getting, it could come back to haunt them. And let's not forget that they won't have their second round pick in 2018.

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